I thought you meant he was hitting cleanup. Nice to see that power really coming around in July. That's 9 XBH's this month in ~60 AB's, as compared to 2 in June in ~40 AB's. I use 1 XBH/10 AB's as a litmus test of above average power potential below double-A.

75% of the DSL games were canceled today; but not our DSL Sox. Everything keeps coming up Alfredo Soto.

edwardcc wrote:

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Temple, why exactly is that a good measure? Honest question, how does 1/10 xbh/ab ratio compare to the average and is there a study or are there any numbers that suggest that that is a good ratio. Also, if you know, what is the age appropriate ratio at AA and above to be considered above average.

Like I said, it's my own litmus test (unless I saw it somewhere else and I can't remember, which is a possibility), so there really is no science behind it. I use XBH's instead of slugging % because the theory is that as minor leaguers age, doubles do turn into homeruns, which I semi-proved in a SoSH minor league game thread back when I had access to minorleaguesplits.com's league leaderboards. But, in short, it hasn't been definitively tested to show anything. It's simply a nice short-hand barometer of power potential for me.

Here:



And some others for the hell of it (from 2006):

GCL Sox spank GCL Orioles 15-3

Fuentes- 3/5, BB, 3 SB, K
Kelly- 2/5, HR, BB, K
Blair- 2/3, 2B, BB, K
Garcia- 1/4, 2B, 2 BB, K
Lora- 3/5, 2B, 3B, BB
Escobar- 1/3, BB

Mendez- 5 IP, 5 H, ER, 5/0 K/BB, 2/8 GO/AO

Steve Dillard wrote:

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Temple, I'd love to hear the stats on the 2b/HR issue. Intuitively, while I'm sure there's some correlation, just from watching baseball it seems most doubles are bloops, liners/grounders into the corner or a gap between outfielders, rather than just miss homers. I'd think the conversion from doubles to homers would be fairly small.

I don't think you're wrong. But I think the argument would be that those balls which are hit hard down the line or in the gaps for doubles, will be homeruns once hitters mature, strengthen, and are able to hit the ball harder consistently with more backspin. I don't think people contend that the doubles turning into homeruns are balls falling just short on the track.