I don't think that is flawed logic. The pick doesn't belong to the Jays yet. The movement of picks doesn't happen until all Type A and B free agents have signed. There is the POTENTIAL that this deal will cost us a first round pick. There is also the potential it will cost us a 2nd or a 3rd rounder. We don't know what pick it will cost us, only that it will cost us a pick. Weighing the odds of which pick it will cost us is reasonable given that we don't know the absolute answer at this point.

