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        <title>The Value of OBP</title>
        <link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/topic/5174/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html</link>
        <description>
        <![CDATA[ 
  Bosoxwest wrote:
  
  This has been a pretty damn good discussion, but regarding Drew, as far as Theo&#39;s personnel moves go, I don&#39;t know that he&#39;s the guy keeping me
  up nights. New thread on value of OBP?


The J.D. Drew thread has sparked a lot of conversation about the value of walking and OBP in general,
so I got motivated by the above quote to start a new discussion about the value of OBP and what it means to scoring runs.


I find it awfully baffling that people still... ]]>
        </description>

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		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2009 22:34:04 GMT</pubDate>
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			<title><![CDATA[ Re: The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207551/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html#reply-207551</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ <font size="1" face="Arial">This is why Duquette was way ahead of his time, recognizing that he could sign Offerman to replace Vaughn&#39;s &quot;on-base
capability&quot;.</font> ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (Steve Dillard)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207551</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2009 18:05:50 PST</pubDate>
			<!-- extensions -->

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		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[ Re: The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207453/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html#reply-207453</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ <blockquote>
  <strong class="quote-title">ancientsoxfogey wrote:</strong>
  <hr>
  Higher than what? Higher than what he&#39;d sign for for a longer deal? Or higher than the AAV of his current contract? I wouldn&#39;t give him more than his
  current deal in AAV, because stats seem to say that he&#39;s giving the Sox approximately what he is paid at current scale, and we have no reason to believe
  that is going to improve as he goes through his mid-30&#39;s. Besides, we have plenty of time to evaluate that as his potential replacements work their way
  through the minors as he plays the last 2 years under his current contract.
</blockquote>
<br>
<br>
Higher than his market value. Some team will offer him the 3/4 year deal. ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (mredsox89)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207453</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2009 13:58:44 PST</pubDate>
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		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[ Re: The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207451/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html#reply-207451</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ Higher than what? Higher than what he&#39;d sign for for a longer deal? Or higher than the AAV of his current contract? I wouldn&#39;t give him more than his
current deal in AAV, because stats seem to say that he&#39;s giving the Sox approximately what he is paid at current scale, and we have no reason to believe
that is going to improve as he goes through his mid-30&#39;s. Besides, we have plenty of time to evaluate that as his potential replacements work their way
through the minors as he plays the last 2 years under his current contract. ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (ancientsoxfogey)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207451</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2009 13:53:43 PST</pubDate>
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		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[ Re: The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207442/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html#reply-207442</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ <blockquote>
  <strong class="quote-title">Bury the Hammer wrote:</strong>
  <hr>

  <blockquote>
    <strong class="quote-title">mredsox89 wrote:</strong>
    <hr>
    I&#39;ll be honest, I really hope the sox can lock up Drew again, even if it is a similar contract. His current contract has paid him 42 million over three
    years, and although he had a slow 1st season he has produced over 44 million according to fangraphs.com. Maybe the contract is a bit much but he is
    producing like a middle of the order star, even if he doesn&#39;t ever show the emotion. Sometimes you need that guy who can be consistent and won&#39;t
    get rattled up.
  </blockquote>I like Drew as much as anyone, but even I wouldn&#39;t advocate signing him to a deal when he&#39;s in his mid-thirties.
  <br>
</blockquote>
<br>
<br>
Maybe only a 2 year deal at higher money? ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (mredsox89)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207442</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2009 12:36:12 PST</pubDate>
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		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[ Re: The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207440/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html#reply-207440</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ Ted Williams always said that Total Bases was the best way to judge a hitter.  On the other hand, he had a lifetime OBP of .483, which is pretty amazing. 
Better than Babe Ruth, Gerig, etc.
<br>
<br>
A little off topic, but I ran into an old Red Sox pitcher by the name of Jerry Casale at a casino in Atlantic City.  He pitched for the Sox in &#39;58 and
&#39;59 before being let go in the expansion draft in &#39;60 to the Angels.  His claim to fame was that he gave up one of Maris&#39;s HR&#39;s during 1960
(no. 41) and also Yaz&#39;s 1st major league HR.  He went on to open an Italian restaurant in NYC, but when 9/11 happened, it killed his business.  He&#39;s
now living in NJ on Social Security.  He was saying that Yawkey only wanted Southern ballplayers, so they let go many fine Northern players, including Sammy
White.  Mike Higgins was a big time drunk (ended up in jail for a DUI and killing someone).  Other players just didn&#39;t give a damn including (wait for it)
Pumpsie... ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (costpet)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207440</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2009 11:09:58 PST</pubDate>
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		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[ Re: The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207434/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html#reply-207434</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ <blockquote>
  <strong class="quote-title">mredsox89 wrote:</strong>
  <hr>
  I&#39;ll be honest, I really hope the sox can lock up Drew again, even if it is a similar contract. His current contract has paid him 42 million over three
  years, and although he had a slow 1st season he has produced over 44 million according to fangraphs.com. Maybe the contract is a bit much but he is producing
  like a middle of the order star, even if he doesn&#39;t ever show the emotion. Sometimes you need that guy who can be consistent and won&#39;t get rattled
  up.
</blockquote>I like Drew as much as anyone, but even I wouldn&#39;t advocate signing him to a deal when he&#39;s in his mid-thirties.
<br> ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (Bury the Hammer)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207434</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2009 09:38:01 PST</pubDate>
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		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[ Re: The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207429/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html#reply-207429</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ <blockquote>
  <strong class="quote-title">TWilliams4649 wrote:</strong>
  <hr>

  <blockquote>
    <strong class="quote-title">mpaxisa wrote:</strong>
    <hr>
    OBP is the single most important statistic in baseball. Period.
    <br>
  </blockquote>I think that OBP is extremely important, but I want to know your reasoning on why it is the single most important statistic in baseball. I would
  not want my clean up hitter having an amazing OBP if his Slugging is down. Please explain yourself.
  <br>
</blockquote>To eleaborate on FTHW&#39;s explanation, OBP is a statistic that shows how often (or rarely) a player makes outs.  I also seem to remember that it
is the TEAM statistic that most closely correlates with runs scored.  It is also a statistic over which each hitter has a great degree of control (walks,
strikeouts and HR&#39;s are all involved, and LD% tends to increase it), and can therefore be used predictively fairly well. 
<br>
<br> ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (SoxSail)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207429</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2009 09:09:08 PST</pubDate>
			<!-- extensions -->

		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[ Re: The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207427/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html#reply-207427</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ im not going to lie to you guys and pretend to know what stat is the more important (average, OBP, etc), but let me ask if the sox in the offseason let go of
Lowell and Bay and replaced them with Abreu and Figgins would that be a good thing? ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (mastaexarkun)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207427</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2009 09:02:43 PST</pubDate>
			<!-- extensions -->

		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[ Re: The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207423/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html#reply-207423</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ I&#39;ll be honest, I really hope the sox can lock up Drew again, even if it is a similar contract. His current contract has paid him 42 million over three
years, and although he had a slow 1st season he has produced over 44 million according to fangraphs.com. Maybe the contract is a bit much but he is producing
like a middle of the order star, even if he doesn&#39;t ever show the emotion. Sometimes you need that guy who can be consistent and won&#39;t get rattled up. ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (mredsox89)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207423</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2009 01:50:39 PST</pubDate>
			<!-- extensions -->

		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[ Re: The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207422/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html#reply-207422</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ If I&#39;ve got a guy with a .500 OBP, there&#39;s no way he&#39;s batting cleanup anyway. He&#39;s leading off, in order to get him the maximum number of
plate appearances relative to my other, presumably sub .500 OBP guys. Also, it&#39;s worth noting that such a player is entirely fictional. Very few players
can sustain a high OBP without also having significant power. ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (FenwayTheHardWay)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207422</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2009 01:05:01 PST</pubDate>
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		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[ Re: The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207420/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html#reply-207420</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ <blockquote>
  <strong class="quote-title">TWilliams4649 wrote:</strong>
  <hr>

  <blockquote>
    <strong class="quote-title">mpaxisa wrote:</strong>
    <hr>
    OBP is the single most important statistic in baseball. Period.
    <br>
  </blockquote>
  <br>
  I think that OBP is extremely important, but I want to know your reasoning on why it is the single most important statistic in baseball. I would not want my
  clean up hitter having an amazing OBP if his Slugging is down. Please explain yourself.
  <br>
</blockquote>
<br>
<br>
If my clean up hitter has a .500 OBP, he can get it from nothing but singles and walks,  I&#39;ll be ecstatic. ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (ArodSucksAtLife)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207420</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2009 00:57:49 PST</pubDate>
			<!-- extensions -->

		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[ Re: The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207418/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html#reply-207418</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ &quot;On offense, your most precious possessions are your 27 outs&quot; - Earl Weaver
<br>
<br>
Basic stuff, people. ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (FenwayTheHardWay)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207418</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2009 00:46:10 PST</pubDate>
			<!-- extensions -->

		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[ Re: The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207415/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html#reply-207415</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ <blockquote>
  <strong class="quote-title">mpaxisa wrote:</strong>
  <hr>
  OBP is the single most important statistic in baseball. Period.
  <br>
</blockquote>
<br>
I think that OBP is extremely important, but I want to know your reasoning on why it is the single most important statistic in baseball.  I would not want my
clean up hitter having an amazing OBP if his Slugging is down.  Please explain yourself.   
<br> ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (TWilliams4649)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207415</guid>
			<pubDate>Sun, 11 Oct 2009 00:30:49 PST</pubDate>
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		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[ Re: The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207413/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html#reply-207413</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ <font size="2"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;">I forgot to add this in the OP, but to address the point that Bosoxwest was making about Drew not being
a guy that keeps him up at nights despite Drew being a high OBP guy: what makes one high OBP guy scarier than another high OBP guy? What makes Youkilis seem
&quot;scarier&quot; at the plate than Drew? I hope Bosoxwest can elaborate on his point.
<br></span></font> ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (muellerkiller)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207413</guid>
			<pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2009 22:40:40 PST</pubDate>
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		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[ Re: The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207412/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html#reply-207412</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ OBP is the single most important statistic in baseball. Period.
<br> ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (mpaxisa)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/reply/207412</guid>
			<pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2009 22:36:19 PST</pubDate>
			<!-- extensions -->

		</item>
		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[ The Value of OBP ]]></title>
			<link>http://forum-soxprospects.com/topic/5174/t/The-Value-of-OBP.html</link>
			<description><![CDATA[ <blockquote>
  <strong class="quote-title">Bosoxwest wrote:</strong>
  <hr>
  This has been a pretty damn good discussion, but regarding Drew, as far as Theo&#39;s personnel moves go, I don&#39;t know that he&#39;s the guy keeping me
  up nights. New thread on value of OBP?
</blockquote>
<br>
<font size="2"><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;">The J.D. Drew thread has sparked a lot of conversation about the value of walking and OBP in general,
so I got motivated by the above quote to start a new discussion about the value of OBP and what it means to scoring runs.
<br>
<br>
I find it awfully baffling that people still rely on AVG over OBP when assessing a hitter. I&#39;m trying to think of possible reasons why this is the case,
and I think the major one probably would be that most people don&#39;t see walking as a hitter&#39;s skill. As we all know from traditional scouting, plate
discipline is not considered one of the five tools.</span></font>
<br>
<br>
<font size="2"><span... ]]></description>

			<!-- optional elements -->
			<author>feeds@kickapps.com (muellerkiller)</author>
			<guid isPermaLink="true">http://forum-soxprospects.com/topic/5174</guid>
			<pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2009 22:34:04 PST</pubDate>
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